{"id":385,"date":"2026-10-20T10:15:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-20T14:15:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/?p=385"},"modified":"2026-10-20T10:15:01","modified_gmt":"2026-10-20T14:15:01","slug":"voto-latino-elecciones-intermedias-2026-congreso","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/en\/latino-vote-in-the-midterm-elections-39-million-eligible-to-vote\/","title":{"rendered":"Latino vote in the midterm elections: 39 million eligible to vote"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Unos 39 millones de hispanos podr\u00e1n votar en las elecciones intermedias del 3 de noviembre de 2026, seg\u00fan proyecciones del Centro de Investigaciones Pew (Pew Research Center). Son el 16% de los votantes elegibles del pa\u00eds y el grupo que m\u00e1s creci\u00f3 desde la elecci\u00f3n anterior.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"tla-infografia\" data-tla=\"visual\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-EDZvk9-1024x770.png\" alt=\"Infograf\u00eda: El voto latino en 2026\" width=\"1024\" height=\"770\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-387\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-EDZvk9-1024x770.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-EDZvk9-300x226.png 300w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-EDZvk9-768x577.png 768w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-EDZvk9-16x12.png 16w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-EDZvk9.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<h2>Un electorado que crece<\/h2>\n<p>El an\u00e1lisis de Pew, publicado el 10 de septiembre de 2026, calcula en <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/race-and-ethnicity\/2026\/09\/10\/the-u-s-electorates-changing-racial-and-ethnic-makeup\/\">unos 38.95 millones<\/a> los hispanos ciudadanos mayores de 18 a\u00f1os. Son 5.25 millones m\u00e1s que en 2022, un aumento de 16%, y ning\u00fan otro grupo sum\u00f3 m\u00e1s votantes elegibles en ese periodo.<\/p>\n<p>Las proyecciones parten de estimaciones de poblaci\u00f3n de la Oficina del Censo (Census Bureau) y de la Encuesta sobre la Comunidad Estadounidense de 2024.<\/p>\n<p>Con datos de 2024, Pew indica que el 30% de los votantes elegibles hispanos tiene menos de 30 a\u00f1os, la proporci\u00f3n juvenil m\u00e1s alta entre los grupos analizados. El 23% es ciudadano por naturalizaci\u00f3n y el 77% naci\u00f3 en EE.UU.<\/p>\n<h2>Texas, Arizona y Colorado<\/h2>\n<p>El peso latino var\u00eda por estado. Seg\u00fan Pew, con datos de 2024, los hispanos son el 32.3% de los votantes elegibles en Texas, el 25.4% en Arizona, el 33.0% en California y el 17.5% en Colorado.<\/p>\n<p>Las listas de candidatos en cada estado deben consultarse en las autoridades electorales correspondientes.<\/p>\n<h2>Lo que dice la encuesta de Pew<\/h2>\n<p>Pew entrevist\u00f3 del 28 de septiembre al 4 de octubre de 2026, en ingl\u00e9s y espa\u00f1ol, a 5,062 adultos, entre ellos 774 votantes hispanos registrados. Los resultados se <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/race-and-ethnicity\/2026\/10\/16\/how-latino-voters-are-experiencing-the-2026-midterm-elections\/\">publicaron el 16 de octubre<\/a>.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>51% de los votantes latinos registrados prefiere al candidato dem\u00f3crata a la C\u00e1mara de Representantes y 24% al republicano. Otro 18% no est\u00e1 seguro y 7% elegir\u00eda a otro candidato.<\/li>\n<li>La aprobaci\u00f3n del presidente Donald Trump entre estos votantes es de 24%, frente a 38% en febrero de 2025.<\/li>\n<li>Entre los latinos que votaron por Trump en 2024, la aprobaci\u00f3n es de 57%. Al inicio de su segundo mandato era de 93%.<\/li>\n<li>Entre quienes apoyan a un candidato dem\u00f3crata, 53% dice estar extremadamente motivado para votar, frente a 41% en 2022.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Pew tambi\u00e9n se\u00f1ala que los votantes latinos favorecieron a los dem\u00f3cratas por 21 puntos en 2022, frente a 47 puntos en 2018. En la encuesta de 2026 la ventaja dem\u00f3crata es de 27 puntos.<\/p>\n<h2>Qu\u00e9 falta por definir<\/h2>\n<p>Una encuesta no es un resultado. Un 18% de indecisos puede mover los n\u00fameros. Las cifras corresponden a votantes registrados, no a quienes finalmente voten.<\/p>\n<p>Pew indica que la econom\u00eda es el tema principal entre estos votantes.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"tla-inline\" data-tla=\"visual\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Voto latino en las elecciones intermedias: 39 millones podr\u00e1n votar\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-388\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE-18x10.jpg 18w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-385-TGSThE.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<h2>What does it mean to you?<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Solo los ciudadanos de EE.UU. pueden votar en elecciones federales, incluidos los naturalizados. Los residentes permanentes no pueden votar, seg\u00fan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usa.gov\/who-can-vote\">USA.gov<\/a>.<\/li>\n<li>Debes tener 18 a\u00f1os o m\u00e1s a m\u00e1s tardar el d\u00eda de la elecci\u00f3n y cumplir los requisitos de residencia de tu estado.<\/li>\n<li>Para registrarte o actualizar tu registro, entra a vote.gov. Cada estado fija sus plazos; si tienes dudas, contacta a tu oficina electoral estatal o local.<\/li>\n<li>Cada estado fija sus reglas de identificaci\u00f3n para votar, y en elecciones federales no se puede votar por internet, seg\u00fan <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usa.gov\/election-day\">USA.gov<\/a>.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>What can you do?<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Confirma tu registro en la oficina electoral de tu estado.<\/li>\n<li>Revisa las reglas de identificaci\u00f3n de tu estado antes de ir a votar.<\/li>\n<li>Revisa si tu estado ofrece voto anticipado o por correo y sus fechas.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"tla-aviso-legal\"><em><strong>Legal notice:<\/strong> This information is general and does not replace guidance from the official agency or a licensed professional regarding your specific case.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"tla-aviso-datos\" data-tla=\"aviso-datos\"><small>Nota de la redacci\u00f3n: algunos datos de esta nota no se pudieron confirmar con fuentes oficiales al momento de publicarla; provienen de reportes de otros medios o de las personas citadas. Actualizaremos la nota si la informaci\u00f3n cambia.<\/small><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pew projects that Hispanics make up 16% of the eligible electorate, and its survey shows a 27-point Democratic advantage among registered Latino voters.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":386,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oxygen_hide_in_design_set":false,"_oxygen_tags":"","_cabeceras_dek":"Pew proyecta que los hispanos son el 16% del electorado elegible y su encuesta muestra una ventaja dem\u00f3crata de 27 puntos entre votantes latinos registrados.","_cabeceras_official_sources":[{"name":"Pew Research Center: electorado 2026","url":"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/race-and-ethnicity\/2026\/09\/10\/the-u-s-electorates-changing-racial-and-ethnic-makeup\/"},{"name":"Pew Research Center: votantes latinos","url":"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/race-and-ethnicity\/2026\/10\/16\/how-latino-voters-are-experiencing-the-2026-midterm-elections\/"},{"name":"USA.gov: qui\u00e9n puede votar","url":"https:\/\/www.usa.gov\/who-can-vote"},{"name":"USA.gov: d\u00eda de elecciones","url":"https:\/\/www.usa.gov\/election-day"}],"_cabeceras_claims":[{"claim":"Unos 39 millones de hispanos podr\u00e1n votar en las elecciones intermedias","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Son el 16% de los votantes elegibles","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Las elecciones intermedias son el 3 de noviembre de 2026","support":["S3"],"unknown":[],"status":"solo_medios"},{"claim":"38.95 millones de hispanos ciudadanos mayores de 18; 5.25 millones m\u00e1s que en 2022, aumento de 16%","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"An\u00e1lisis publicado el 10 de septiembre de 2026","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"30% de votantes elegibles hispanos menores de 30 (2024); 23% naturalizado y 77% nacido en EE.UU.","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Hispanos: 32.3% Texas, 25.4% Arizona, 33.0% California, 17.5% Colorado (2024)","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Encuesta del 28 de septiembre al 4 de octubre de 2026, ingl\u00e9s y espa\u00f1ol, 5,062 adultos, 774 votantes hispanos registrados","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Publicada el 16 de octubre","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"51% prefiere dem\u00f3crata, 24% republicano, 18% no seguro, 7% otro","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Aprobaci\u00f3n de Trump 24% frente a 38% en febrero de 2025","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Entre quienes votaron por Trump en 2024 la aprobaci\u00f3n es 57% frente a 93%","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"53% de apoyo dem\u00f3crata extremadamente motivado frente a 41% en 2022","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Ventaja dem\u00f3crata entre latinos de 21 puntos en 2022, 47 en 2018, 27 en 2026","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"La econom\u00eda es el tema principal","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Solo ciudadanos pueden votar en elecciones federales; residentes permanentes no","support":["F3"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Se necesitan 18 a\u00f1os a m\u00e1s tardar el d\u00eda de la elecci\u00f3n y cumplir residencia estatal","support":["F3"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Se registra o actualiza en vote.gov; cada estado fija plazos","support":["F3"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"Cada estado fija reglas de identificaci\u00f3n; no se puede votar por internet en elecciones federales","support":["F4"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"}],"tla_reel_url":"","_tla_reel_video":0,"_tla_reel_video_fb":0,"_tla_reel_portada":0,"_tla_reel_programado":0,"_tla_reel_copy":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[153,151,72,152,76,150],"class_list":["post-385","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-voto-latino","tag-arizona","tag-congreso","tag-elecciones-2026","tag-pew","tag-texas","tag-voto-latino"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Latino vote 2026: 39 million will be eligible to vote<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Pew estimates 39 million eligible Hispanic voters in the November 3rd election. 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