{"id":1644,"date":"2026-10-26T17:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-10-26T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/?p=1644"},"modified":"2026-10-25T21:23:40","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T03:23:40","slug":"trump-semana-economica-antes-elecciones-legislativas","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/en\/trump-semana-economica-antes-elecciones-legislativas\/","title":{"rendered":"Fed, GDP and prices mark the last economic week before the midterm elections"},"content":{"rendered":"

La \u00faltima semana antes de las elecciones legislativas del 3 de noviembre trae dos decisiones y publicaciones oficiales que miden la econom\u00eda que enfrentan los votantes: la reuni\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal el 27 y 28 de octubre y la primera estimaci\u00f3n del producto interno bruto (PIB) del tercer trimestre, el 29 de octubre.<\/p>\n

\"Infograf\u00eda:<\/figure>\n

Lo que se publica esta semana<\/h2>\n

El Comit\u00e9 Federal de Mercado Abierto (FOMC) de la Reserva Federal<\/a> se re\u00fane el 27 y 28 de octubre. Es la reuni\u00f3n previa a la siguiente, del 8 y 9 de diciembre. Hasta la publicaci\u00f3n de esta nota, la Reserva Federal no hab\u00eda anunciado su decisi\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

El jueves 29 de octubre, a las 8:30 a.m., la Oficina de An\u00e1lisis Econ\u00f3mico (BEA)<\/a> publica la estimaci\u00f3n adelantada del PIB del tercer trimestre y el informe de ingresos y gastos personales de septiembre.<\/p>\n

De d\u00f3nde parte la econom\u00eda<\/h2>\n

La BEA ubica el crecimiento m\u00e1s reciente en el segundo trimestre: seg\u00fan su tercera estimaci\u00f3n<\/a>, publicada el 30 de septiembre, el PIB real creci\u00f3 a una tasa anual de 2.2%.<\/p>\n

El empleo se enfri\u00f3. El informe de la Oficina de Estad\u00edsticas Laborales (BLS)<\/a> del 2 de octubre mostr\u00f3 que la n\u00f3mina no agr\u00edcola subi\u00f3 29,000 puestos en septiembre y que el desempleo fue de 4.2%, con 7.1 millones de personas sin trabajo. Julio se revis\u00f3 de +21,000 a -10,000 y agosto, de +162,000 a +133,000. El salario promedio por hora subi\u00f3 5 centavos, a $37.81, un aumento de 3.0% en 12 meses.<\/p>\n

Los precios siguen altos. Seg\u00fan el \u00edndice de precios al consumidor<\/a> publicado el 14 de octubre, el costo de vida subi\u00f3 3.7% en 12 meses hasta septiembre y 0.6% en el mes, con ajuste estacional. Esa cifra supera el aumento de 3.0% en los salarios por hora del mismo periodo, que no es exactamente igual en alcance, pero apunta en la misma direcci\u00f3n que lo que muchos hogares describen: los precios suben m\u00e1s r\u00e1pido que los pagos.<\/p>\n

La postura de la Reserva Federal<\/h2>\n

El 16 de septiembre, el FOMC vot\u00f3 12 a 0<\/a> para subir la tasa de fondos federales un cuarto de punto, a un rango de 3-3\/4 a 4 por ciento. En su comunicado, la Reserva Federal escribi\u00f3 que \u00abInflation remains elevated\u00bb, es decir, que la inflaci\u00f3n sigue elevada.<\/p>\n

Esa tasa de referencia influye en lo que cuestan las tarjetas de cr\u00e9dito, los pr\u00e9stamos para auto y las hipotecas nuevas. Lo que decida el FOMC el 28 de octubre no est\u00e1 confirmado y no se puede dar por hecho.<\/p>\n

Lo que llega despu\u00e9s de la votaci\u00f3n<\/h2>\n

El BLS tiene programado el informe de empleo de octubre<\/a> para el viernes 6 de noviembre a las 8:30 a.m. hora del Este, tres d\u00edas despu\u00e9s de las elecciones. El \u00edndice de precios de octubre se publica el martes 10 de noviembre. Es decir, el informe de septiembre es el \u00faltimo dato de empleo que los votantes tendr\u00e1n antes de acudir a las urnas.<\/p>\n

What does it mean to you?<\/h2>\n
    \n
  • El 29 de octubre y el 6 de noviembre salen cifras oficiales que puedes consultar t\u00fa mismo en las p\u00e1ginas de la BEA y del BLS, sin intermediarios.<\/li>\n
  • Si tienes una deuda con tasa variable, como una tarjeta de cr\u00e9dito, revisa tu estado de cuenta despu\u00e9s de la reuni\u00f3n de la Reserva Federal del 28 de octubre.<\/li>\n
  • Un empleo que crece poco y precios que suben m\u00e1s que los salarios afectan sobre todo a hogares que viven al d\u00eda; si buscas trabajo, el informe del 6 de noviembre mostrar\u00e1 si el ritmo de contrataci\u00f3n cambia.<\/li>\n
  • Votar sigue siendo posible hasta el 3 de noviembre; consulta las fechas de voto anticipado de tu estado en la p\u00e1gina de su autoridad electoral.<\/li>\n<\/ul>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

    La Reserva Federal decide su tasa el 28 de octubre y el gobierno publica el PIB el 29. El informe de empleo de octubre llegar\u00e1 tres d\u00edas despu\u00e9s de la votaci\u00f3n.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1645,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oxygen_hide_in_design_set":false,"_oxygen_tags":"","_cabeceras_dek":"La Reserva Federal decide su tasa el 28 de octubre y el gobierno publica el PIB el 29. 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se re\u00fane el 27 y 28 de octubre de 2026.","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El 29 de octubre de 2026 a las 8:30 a.m. la BEA publica la estimaci\u00f3n adelantada del PIB del tercer trimestre y el informe de ingresos y gastos personales de septiembre.","support":["F3"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"La n\u00f3mina no agr\u00edcola subi\u00f3 29,000 en septiembre de 2026 y el desempleo fue de 4.2%.","support":["F5"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El \u00edndice de precios al consumidor subi\u00f3 3.7% en 12 meses hasta septiembre, publicado el 14 de octubre.","support":["F6"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El 16 de septiembre el FOMC vot\u00f3 12 a 0 para subir la tasa un cuarto de punto, a un rango de 3-3\/4 a 4 por ciento.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El informe de empleo de octubre sale el 6 de noviembre a las 8:30 a.m. hora del Este y el \u00edndice de precios de octubre el 10 de 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