{"id":1084,"date":"2026-10-23T19:47:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-24T01:47:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/?p=1084"},"modified":"2026-10-23T18:52:25","modified_gmt":"2026-10-24T00:52:25","slug":"deportaciones-trump-meta-un-millon-mpi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/en\/trumps-deportations-are-falling-short-of-the-goal-of-one-million-per-year-according-to-the\/","title":{"rendered":"Trump&#039;s deportations are falling short of the goal of one million per year, according to the MPI"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Las deportaciones del segundo mandato de Donald Trump avanzan a un ritmo menor que la meta de un mill\u00f3n al a\u00f1o, seg\u00fan un an\u00e1lisis del Migration Policy Institute (MPI) publicado en octubre de 2026. La Casa Blanca, por su parte, presenta una cifra total mayor.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"tla-infografia\" data-tla=\"visual\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-T5Hp9T-1024x821.png\" alt=\"Infograf\u00eda: Deportaciones bajo Trump: estimaci\u00f3n y meta\" width=\"1024\" height=\"821\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-1086\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-T5Hp9T-1024x821.png 1024w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-T5Hp9T-300x241.png 300w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-T5Hp9T-768x616.png 768w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-T5Hp9T-15x12.png 15w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-T5Hp9T.png 1200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<h2>Qu\u00e9 estima el MPI<\/h2>\n<p>La ficha del investigador Marc Rosenblum calcula que el Departamento de Seguridad Nacional (DHS), con el Servicio de Inmigraci\u00f3n y Control de Aduanas (ICE) y la Patrulla Fronteriza, complet\u00f3 unas 980,000 deportaciones entre el 20 de enero de 2025 y el 31 de julio de 2026. Puede consultarse en <a href=\"https:\/\/www.migrationpolicy.org\/publication\/us-deportations-second-trump\">el sitio del MPI<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>En t\u00e9rminos anualizados, el MPI cuenta 620,000 deportaciones en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2025 y proyecta 660,000 en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2026. Esa cifra queda por debajo de la meta de un mill\u00f3n al a\u00f1o. Tambi\u00e9n es menor que las cerca de 1.86 millones registradas en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2000.<\/p>\n<h2>M\u00e1s arrestos en el interior<\/h2>\n<p>El an\u00e1lisis se\u00f1ala un cambio en el origen de las deportaciones. La proporci\u00f3n de las que parten de arrestos dentro del pa\u00eds subi\u00f3 de 28% entre el 20 de enero y el 31 de diciembre de 2025 a 34% en el primer semestre de 2026 y a 39% en julio.<\/p>\n<h2>La cifra de la Casa Blanca<\/h2>\n<p>La Casa Blanca public\u00f3 el 20 de octubre de 2026 que \u00abcasi 1.2 millones\u00bb de inmigrantes indocumentados han sido deportados o removidos y que se han hecho casi 1.3 millones de arrestos. Indic\u00f3 adem\u00e1s que m\u00e1s de 25,000 personas fueron enviadas a pa\u00edses distintos al suyo y que los vuelos de deportaci\u00f3n est\u00e1n en niveles r\u00e9cord. Esos datos est\u00e1n en <a href=\"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/releases\/2026\/10\/how-president-trump-ended-the-border-invasion-and-restored-american-sovereignty\/\">el comunicado oficial<\/a>, que no fija una meta num\u00e9rica de deportaciones.<\/p>\n<p>La diferencia entre 980,000 y casi 1.2 millones no est\u00e1 explicada en el material consultado. Son cortes de fechas y m\u00e9todos distintos, y la nota no puede conciliarlos. Tampoco se confirm\u00f3 por fuentes oficiales cu\u00e1ntas de las personas deportadas ten\u00edan condenas penales.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"tla-inline\" data-tla=\"visual\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO-1024x576.jpg\" alt=\"Las deportaciones de Trump van por debajo de la meta de un mill\u00f3n al a\u00f1o, seg\u00fan el MPI\" width=\"1024\" height=\"576\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"wp-image-1087\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO-1024x576.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO-300x169.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO-768x432.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO-1536x864.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO-18x10.jpg 18w, https:\/\/www.thelatinamericans.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/ilustracion-1084-N3j8HO.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><figcaption>Foto de archivo (2018): Agentes de ICE en operativos en los condados de Collier y Le. U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement \/ Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<h2>What does it mean to you?<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>Las cifras de deportaciones dependen de qui\u00e9n cuenta y de qu\u00e9 per\u00edodo, por lo que conviene comparar siempre la fuente y las fechas.<\/li>\n<li>El interior del pa\u00eds pesa cada vez m\u00e1s en las deportaciones, seg\u00fan el MPI. Eso puede afectar a personas que llevan a\u00f1os viviendo en EE.UU.<\/li>\n<li>Si t\u00fa o un familiar tienen un caso migratorio, consulta a un abogado de inmigraci\u00f3n o a una organizaci\u00f3n legal acreditada; esta nota no sustituye asesor\u00eda legal.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"tla-aviso-legal\"><em><strong>Legal notice:<\/strong> This information is general and does not replace the advice of a licensed immigration attorney or a representative accredited by the Department of Justice.<\/em><\/p>\n<p class=\"tla-aviso-datos\" data-tla=\"aviso-datos\"><small>Editor&#039;s note: Some information in this article could not be confirmed with official sources at the time of publication; it comes from reports by other media outlets or from the individuals quoted. We will update the article if the information changes.<\/small><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>El Migration Policy Institute estima 660,000 deportaciones en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2026. La Casa Blanca habla de casi 1.2 millones en total, una cifra que no coincide con la del instituto.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1085,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_oxygen_hide_in_design_set":false,"_oxygen_tags":"","_cabeceras_dek":"El Migration Policy Institute estima 660,000 deportaciones en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2026. La Casa Blanca habla de casi 1.2 millones en total, una cifra que no coincide con la del instituto.","_cabeceras_official_sources":[{"name":"Migration Policy Institute","url":"https:\/\/www.migrationpolicy.org\/publication\/us-deportations-second-trump"},{"name":"Casa Blanca","url":"https:\/\/www.whitehouse.gov\/releases\/2026\/10\/how-president-trump-ended-the-border-invasion-and-restored-american-sovereignty\/"}],"_cabeceras_claims":[{"claim":"El MPI public\u00f3 en octubre de 2026 un an\u00e1lisis de Marc Rosenblum sobre las deportaciones del segundo mandato de Trump.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El DHS complet\u00f3 unas 980,000 deportaciones entre el 20 de enero de 2025 y el 31 de julio de 2026, seg\u00fan el MPI.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El MPI cuenta 620,000 deportaciones en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2025 y proyecta 660,000 en el a\u00f1o fiscal 2026.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"La meta de la administraci\u00f3n es de un mill\u00f3n de deportaciones al a\u00f1o, seg\u00fan el MPI.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"En el a\u00f1o fiscal 2000 se registraron cerca de 1.86 millones de deportaciones.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"La proporci\u00f3n de deportaciones por arrestos en el interior pas\u00f3 de 28% (20 ene-31 dic 2025) a 34% en el primer semestre de 2026 y 39% en julio.","support":["F2"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"La Casa Blanca public\u00f3 el 20 de octubre de 2026 que casi 1.2 millones de inmigrantes han sido deportados o removidos y casi 1.3 millones arrestados.","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"La Casa Blanca dice que m\u00e1s de 25,000 personas fueron removidas a pa\u00edses distintos al suyo y que los vuelos de deportaci\u00f3n est\u00e1n en niveles r\u00e9cord.","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"},{"claim":"El comunicado de la Casa Blanca no fija una meta num\u00e9rica de deportaciones.","support":["F1"],"unknown":[],"status":"ok"}],"tla_reel_url":"","_tla_reel_video":0,"_tla_reel_video_fb":0,"_tla_reel_portada":0,"_tla_reel_programado":0,"_tla_reel_copy":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[441,130,98,440,227],"class_list":["post-1084","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ice-deportaciones","tag-casa-blanca","tag-deportaciones","tag-ice","tag-migration-policy-institute","tag-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Trump&#039;s deportations: 660,000 compared to the 1 million goal<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The MPI estimates 660,000 deportations in fiscal year 2026, below the target of one million. 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